Every pundit has their predictions about how many seats the GOP will gain on Tuesday. So why shouldn’t bloggers like us, right?
My official prediction is – (drumroll please) 74 House seats and 9 Senate seats will be gained.
Patrick’s official prediction is 67 House seats and 8 Senate seats. (He would pick more but he’s convinced that the Dems will cheat. A lot)
I’m interested in hearing from you guys how many seats the GOP may pick up on Tuesday. Put on your predictin’ hats. The combox is yours.
October 29, 2010 at 5:47 pm
I'm going to make a rolling prediction:
If the GOP picks up 45-55 House seats, they win 8 Senate seats; if they pick up 55-65 House seats, they win 9 Senate seats; if they pick up 65+ House seats, they win 10 Senate seats.
Everything is going to depend on the size of the anti-Democrat wave. (And it should be emphasized that the wave, whatever its size, will be "anti-Democrat", NOT "pro-Republican".)
October 29, 2010 at 5:49 pm
Way to go out on a limb Jay 😉
October 29, 2010 at 5:51 pm
Lots of conservative candidates winning and a few progressive bloggers declaring, "great day for moderates."
October 29, 2010 at 5:51 pm
80 house, 9 senate gains. (Is there a prize for the closest?)
October 29, 2010 at 6:08 pm
With SEIU workers responsible for repairing the voting machines, the fraud will prohibit the republicans from winning as many seats as the polls might indicate.
October 29, 2010 at 6:17 pm
GOP wins 55 to take the House, win 8 Senate seats but Dems hold upper chamber 51-49.
October 29, 2010 at 6:27 pm
"Way to go out on a limb Jay ;-)"
Okay, I'll be a little (but only a little) more specific:
Rosy scenario: 63 and 9.
Pessimistic scenario: 54 and 8.
Significant vote fraud scenario: 44 and 7.
October 29, 2010 at 6:45 pm
Senate: 9 GOP pickups – ND, AR, IN, WI, PA, CO, NV, IL, and WV. Rossi in Washington will decide if the GOP attains a majority.
Governors: Net 8 pickups for the GOP, leaving the party with 32 total governorships.
House: No idea, but probably north of 60 net GOP pickups.
October 29, 2010 at 7:00 pm
Okay, I'll play, and I'll go further and name the Senate seats:
Senate: 7
PA, IN, IL, ND, AR, WI, and NV
House: 43. I would like the wave to be bigger, but I just don't know that I can count on it.
I'll also throw in a huge one: Governors, who for the most part play a significant role in redistricting: Net gain of 6.
October 29, 2010 at 7:03 pm
72 house seats, 10 senate seats.
October 29, 2010 at 7:37 pm
40 House and 5 Senate. I have faith in neither the average voter nor the fantasy that there won't be significant corruption. I don't like the Republican party very much but the Dems are just horrible. This has been overhyped and although they will make some gains, the actual number will turn out to be a major disappointment from the Repubs' expectations.
October 29, 2010 at 8:47 pm
All I know is that Wisconsin IS going to have a Republican governor, Scott Walker, and it's high time.
And also, I predict that there will be nasty, nasty re-counts and challenges all over the U.S., as many losing Democrats won't go down without a fight, kicking and screaming (i.e. wasting more time and taxpayer money.)
October 29, 2010 at 9:43 pm
What have we come to? Please create a link to ROSARY VICTORY. Not knowing how to do this there are two one in upper case and one in lower case. Thank you.
October 29, 2010 at 11:32 pm
Senate GOP +11 (Gaining: ND, AR, IN, PA, WI, NV, IL, CO, WV, WA, CA; Losing: None) Final: 52R – 48D
Governors GOP +8 (Gaining: KS, OK, TN, IA, WY, PA, NM, WI, ME, OH, IL; Losing: CA, HI, RI) I'm not sure how to count FL, but GOP wins it. Final: 32R – 28D
House GOP +120~ Final: 290R-145D~
Q: Optimistic much? A: Yeppers.
October 30, 2010 at 12:50 am
Governors GOP +8 (Gaining: KS, OK, TN, IA, WY, PA, NM, WI, ME, OH, IL;
Michigan will gain a Rep governor too; Snyder is up by nearly 20.
I'll give you my prediction Wednesday, if that's ok. I want some more time to think it over.
October 30, 2010 at 1:03 am
I wish I could be optimistic, but I can't. I just can't. The Dems will lie and cheat and not think about it twice, and I also don't think this country is that conservative anymore. Still, here's hoping!
October 30, 2010 at 1:30 am
A few larger scale political projections that I made on my blog:
If John Kasich wins the Ohio Governor race, he will be a future U.S. President.
Hillary will win the 2012 Democratic Presidental nomination.
George Bush had a 20% approval rating when Obama was elected. Obama had near an 80% approval rating. By the end of Obama's first term, these percentages will almost flip flop.
October 30, 2010 at 2:22 am
If Obama doesn't run in '12, Hillary will. The Clintons are already working their points (whom do you suppose pushed Obama into the health care trap?). The very last thing they want is for Obama to loose to Sarah Palin (and he will loose). Palin, the first woman Pres? THE CLINTONS WILL NEVER ALLOW IT. We're facing Armageddon, folks.
–William
October 30, 2010 at 6:12 am
I dont even care what the outcome of the election is for balance of power as long as Barney Frank (the most open hater of the body politic in congress) is GONE!
October 30, 2010 at 6:20 am
Democrats do not get to 200 in the House. +62 GOP for a 241-194 split.
Senate should be safely +8 GOP and I will add either Raese in WV or Rossi in WA to get to a 50-50 split which will irritate Leno, Letterman and Stewart as Joe Biden will be stuck in DC more often breaking ties and not creating gaffes. The comedians might get lucky and both go GOP.