I am sick to death of this subject and my nerves are fried as I suppose are the nerves of many of you out there.
Electoral college v. Popular Vote, RCP average, Party sampling, turnout, early voting, Sandy, likely voting screens…..
Make it stop.
While I acknowledge that anything can happen tomorrow, I take a look at few bottom line figures.
On the eve of the election, arguably the 2 most prestigious polling outfits, Rasmussen and Gallup, have Romney up nationally by 1. But more importantly, Obama is still stuck at 48%. Behind even by a point and stuck at 48% is not a good place to be for an incumbent to be. There is no spinning this.
Further, the party ID surveys for Rasmussen & Gallup show a Republican advantage. Rasmussen has a survey of 15,000 likely voters that give Republicans a 5.8% voter ID advantage. Other major polls have shown similar results.
Further, almost every poll, even the ones with Obama in the lead, show a big lead among independents for Romney. This is also indisputable.
So the Most reputable pollsters have Romney up and Obama stuck at 48%. They show a big independent preference for Romney and a positive Republican party ID.
If the party ID of the actual electorate is simply close to even, never mind R+, Romney wins.
Am I scared? You betcha! But this is the polling bottom line as I see it.
November 5, 2012 at 7:54 pm
I suspect we wont know after tomorrow. I am predicting another set of court battles. Recounts and more recounts. Of course, I hope I am wrong.
November 5, 2012 at 9:09 pm
Rasmussen is reporting that Republican party identification is +5.8% vs Democrats. In November of 2008 it was -7.6%.
If that's the case and most pollsters are profiling their sampling off of the previous presidential election cycle, their numbers are not just wrong, they're quite possibly not even close. This could a landslide.
I'm going to hold a good thought, and pray a lot.
November 5, 2012 at 9:22 pm
God bless America. May Americans know how important is this election, and how deep risky is Obama to the world.
November 6, 2012 at 3:38 am
Yes, may God have mercy on this nation and may the prayers of many tonight and through the day tomorrow be enough to spare His justice. Like the few righteous people in Sodom when the Lord threatened its destruction to Abraham. I can't really put myself in that category, but I hope and pray that the Lord can find at least one tomorrow and is merciful.
November 6, 2012 at 3:56 am
MAKE A VISIT TO THE EUCHARIST TOMORROW. Our God is an Awesome God.
November 6, 2012 at 7:14 am
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