A new poll from Ohio has Obama up 1 45%-44%.
Well that doesn’t seem too bad considering all we have heard about Ohio, but let’s look at the internals shall we?
The internals show a D+10 skew in the poll. Yes, D+10. But what does that mean? We might know what is normal nationally but what is normal in Ohio?
Via Nic Deb I came across this Ohio exit poll data:
DEMOCRAT 42% REPUBLICAN 41%
Well, now. Doesn’t seem to be much justification for D+10, does there, other than, of course, showing Obama in the lead.
Stacy McCain (also via Nic Deb) is in Ohio and had this to say.
RNC Chairman Reince Priebus just held an impromptu press gaggle and said, “We’re going to outspend the DNC 10-to-1 for the next six weeks.” Asked about polls showing Romney-Ryan trailing in Ohio, Priebus said “we’re within a field goal and we’re going to crush [the Democrats] on the ground.”
And lastly, there is Dick Morris. Yeah, I know, but anyway.
September 25, 2012 at 9:53 pm
I'd recommend UnskewedPolls.com, Romney has a +7.8 right now.
September 26, 2012 at 2:55 am
I live in Ohio. I have no idea how we're doing. Almost everyone I work with is a flaming liberal, but I do get glimmers of hope. People come up to me and talk in hushed tones about religion or politics and say, "You're the only person I talk to about stuff like this." Praise Jesus that I am there for them.
I do have more people admitting to me that they aren't voting for Obama, but the rest are still spouting that same "rich white guys" idea and won't listen to anything else. It's insane.
God help us all.
September 26, 2012 at 3:09 pm
One thing these ridiculously weighted polls are doing is causing those who understand the importance of this election to pray even harder for a good outcome. I know I have been.
I worked in politics for several years, and usually "The polls are wrong," was the final rallying cry of a losing campaign. I don't think that is the case here.
These polls are predicting a historic (by huge margins) Dem turnout. I would be more inclined to believe the opposite. See this:
I harken back to the Wisconsin recall election a couple months ago. The polls showed it tight. When the polling places closed, NBC announced, "It looks like it is going to be a long night." Within an hour they called it for Scott Walker.
Clearly, the press is once again trying to influence events instead of simply reporting them.
I'll be doing a Novena starting Saturday.