As you may have heard, this past weekend the Green machine orchestrated its latest stunt, a global Earth Hour during which participants were asked to turn off all their lights.
In his post on the topic, Matthew made fun of the stunt pointing out that even the organizers admit that the act will do little for the environment but that the payoff would be in awareness. We here at CMR make a habit of mocking the Global Warming scare as unsupported by science, overblown in its conclusions, and potentially harmful to billions of living creatures – namely humans.
Whenever we write about this topic we invariably get emails or comments of the sort of “Why do you mock this so? As Catholics we must morally take care of the environment and even if we are not sure of the effects of human produced CO2 on the environment, why take chances? As Catholics we should support this movement.”
This is a paraphrase of the arguments put forth to us by well meaning Catholics confused by our opposition. We usually laugh off such critiques and questions but I felt that perhaps it requires more than mockery. Let me first stipulate that we absolutely consider ourselves to be Catholic conservationists dedicated to the good stewardship of our God given resources but we generally oppose the methods, tactics, and proposals of the Green Movement. Many assume that our opposition is a knee jerk opposition based on party loyalty and/or our disdain for the lefties who support it. This is emphatically not the case.
This post is not meant as a treatise on the evidence for or against anthropogenic climate change. We at CMR view the evidence as at best inconclusive. But does there exist a chance that humans contribute deleteriously to climate change? Yes, there is a chance, but there is no conclusive evidence that this is the case. Currently there seems to be more evidence to the contrary, but we will let the scientists work it out. What is clear is that supposed current ironclad case for anthropogenic climate change and its consequences is a lie and it is not a neutral act to believe a lie. In the real world believing a lie and acting upon that belief has real world consequences. Sometimes those consequences mean death for millions. This is not guess work, this is history.
History gives us a perfect example of what can happen when bad science is married with the cause-celeb and policy for a generation is built on a lie. In 1962 Rachel Carson wrote her (in)famous book Silent Spring which scaring the public with the horrors linked to the use of DDT.
DDT is an insecticide that up until that point had greatly reduced the incidences of hosts of diseases including yellow fever, dengue, sleeping sickness, plague, encephalitis, West Nile Virus, and other diseases transmitted by mosquitoes, fleas, and lice. Moreover, DDT was responsible for the near eradication of Malaria, a disease which up until that time had killed untold millions.
But the successes of DDT were no match for bad science married to celebrity endorsement. Over the course of a decade, the drum beat against DDT. Will little or no real science to back up their claims the same type of crowd that now drones on about global warming, raised the hue and cry over DDT. DDT was claimed to cause all kinds of terrible things to people and animals and plants. Of course all the studies making these claims used concentrations orders of magnitude higher than what was seen in real life. Never mind, they said. Why take chances? What if it does cause cancer or thinning of egg shells for migratory birds? Let’s ban it so we never have to find out. The very same logic that some people use in their support for draconian cutbacks in CO2.
But what happened when policy was formed on bad science? Millions, millions of people died from malaria and other mosquito born diseases. As consequence of believing a popular lie, millions of people died over decades from diseases that had already been nearly eradicated. This is not conjecture, most mainstream scientists now admit that the science did not support the wild claims made at the time. In fact, quite the opposite. The evidence shows that DDT is safe. Today DDT is slowly being reintroduced, but much institutional opposition remains and people continue to die.
The evidence for anthropogenic climate change is scant at best. Even if it does exist to some degree, the potential impact of this climate change is largely unknown. But the same logic of “why take chances?” is being used, even by Catholics, to support radical remedies for a potentially fictional disease. The remedies proposed for global climate change would severely limit progress in many developing nations keeping billions in poverty. This mandated poverty would, like the ban on DDT, kill millions. For some in the green movement this is an acceptable or even desirable outcome. As a Catholic, I know that it is not.
This is not meant to be an exhaustive defense of my position on climate change or the history around the banning of DDT, but rather a modest explanation to those who ask us “Why not act as if it true? Just in case.” When people ask me this I respond with what I said earlier, “It is not a neutral act to believe a lie. Believe a lie and millions might die.”
March 30, 2009 at 4:43 am
It’s kind of funny that so many of the Earth-Mother types say why take a chance? They are taking a bigger chance in their belief that there isn’t a God. I would rather take a chance on the 30-40 years I have left on this Earth than the eternity of my soul.
March 30, 2009 at 4:49 am
Okay, so this post is more or less in direct response to me, so I feel some sort of obligation to reply here.
Firstly, the very title of the post is highly disingenuous. The idea that those who rationally believe in anthropogenic global warming are somehow lying is whole unsupported and quite frankly dangerous. For some reason, people love to do this: portray an error as a lie. What good reason would anybody have to support lower CO2 emissions other than the genuine, albeit possibly false, belief that it is harming the environment in a way that puts economic “progress” above the proper care of Creation of which God has made us not only masters but also stewards? What do liberals stand to gain by perpetrating such a “lie” against the whole world? What is their ulterior motive? Why do they want to deceive people concerning this matter? The fact of the matter is that you have absolutely no good reason to believe that anybody is being purposely deceptive when they say that human beings are the primary cause of global warming, and to say that they are is itself an act of great dishonesty.
Secondly, you make very great reference to the “science.” What science? Show us this science. Do you or Matthew have doctorates in any field of the natural or physical sciences that would make such a statement as, “We at CMR view the evidence as at best inconclusive,” worthy of belief? Academia is a meritocracy. What merit have you? Why should you be believed when you say that the evidence is inconclusive? And even if it is, it only goes to show that the issue is debatable, and that nobody is lying when they say it is real. They are at most mistaken.
Broadly put, who are you to tell us what science is good and what is bad? Is that not the jobs of, well, scientists? And is it not then up to the judgment of each person to make a decision for themselves of whether that science is convincing?
Thirdly, you fail to recognize the chief concern governing the global warming “movement,” which is of course the long-term security of the human race itself. You explain how draconian restrictions on CO2 emissions would do great harm to the economies of devoloping nations and even prove deadly to their citizens; and this is well taken. But if even the most modest claims of scientists who believe in global warming are taken seriously, then the flooding and other natural disasters which we can expect over the next century to be caused by major climate change would also devastate these poor countries, well beyond the measure of harm which may come by way of CO2 restrictions. And it would not harm only them, but the whole world, causing very great loss of life and property. All the economic prosperity in the world won’t do you a bit of good if you under 200 feet of water or experiencing high temperatures of 120 degrees every day in the summer. Now of course, as you aptly point out, this is not necessarily going to happen, but the point is that if global warming is real, it won’t just be people in the Third or Second Worlds who will be dying, it will be everybody. And everybody is a lot of people. In other words, proponents of the global warming movement aren’t disregarding the potential economic impact of their goals; they merely recognize that the harm which could come by way of massive climate change would make economic concerns irrelevant.
Fourthly, your statement that “believe a lie and millions might die” sounds very nice, but what could you possibly mean by this? Aren’t the global warming advocates saying the very same thing, just in reverse? “Believe in the lie (of denying the reality of global warming), and millions might die.” Isn’t that their essential message? All you serve to point out by such a statement is that humanity faces a dilemma in choosing to act on the issue of global warming: to believe it and face the economic consequences (which could be potentially deadly for many poor people), or to disbelieve it and face the natural consequences, which are arguably much more threatening and disastrous.
So that simply bring me back to the original question. Why should anybody trust a blog whose only expertise seems to be Catholic comedy and commentary on family life (not to take away from such praiseworthy expertise) when they speak about the reality of global warming? You have to do better than simply declaring it a “liberal conspiracy.”
Now go ahead, Patrick: quote Flannery O’Connor again and tell me how I’m just a kid who doesn’t know anything…
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 5:02 am
Christopher
I suppose that since since you go to Nova we will have to forgive your very poor reading comprehension and complete misunderstanding of the point of a blog.
March 30, 2009 at 5:53 am
The theory is not a lie; the “there is no debate, it is settled” is a lie.
Some scientists believe that higher CO2 and average temps will improve human life by making plants flourish; by definition, scientists who believe that CO2 is rising and temperature is rising believe in global warming.
March 30, 2009 at 6:57 am
Patrick,
What college did you go to Patrick?
Also, if you don’t like the way people draw inferences from what you write, I suggest you write something different. If I misunderstood you, it is because you failed to write what you meant, and not because I failed to understand what you wrote. I can’t read your mind; I can only read the text.
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 7:07 am
Foxfier,
There is no such thing in science as “settled.” Everything is a theory. Gravity is a theory; evolution is a theory; the big bang is a theory, etc… All are theories open to possible falsification.
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 11:42 am
Hmmm…good argument, Patrick. This post is definitely something to think on. I never knew all that about DDT.
March 30, 2009 at 11:55 am
There is no such thing in science as “settled.” You are correct cm…however, it appears that the Global Warming enthusiasts insist that GW IS a fact. I have yet to hear from one who is even remotely open to questioning it at all.
If you google “scientist against global warming” you will find a wealth of info. from actual scientists – not just Catholic bloggers – which clearly indicate that this mattter is up for debate. I believe that the point of our humourous response to this Earth hour nonsense is to point out the rigid, anti-scientific stance of many who do in fact claim that GW is settled.
March 30, 2009 at 12:36 pm
If Patrick has made in error in his essay, it is the error of giving entirely too much respect, space, and time to brutal people who wish to impose totalitarianism on ordinary people in the name of the perverse idolization of what they presume to call science.
March 30, 2009 at 12:39 pm
CM: Not only am I better educated than you, having attended better schools than you, but I also work in the energy field. So permit me to say that Patrick’s post is perfectly spot on. The “evidence” amounts to computer modeling, and even these models only predict catastrophic warming (more than 5 degrees Farenheit) at the extreme tail-ends of their predictions.
What’s more, the cataclysmic effects of trying to implement climate change legislation will almost certainly be far greater than the effects of global warming. In certain regions of the world warming would actually be a benefit, though it would negatively impact many other regions. Of course there are ways in which we can combat warming through geoengineering, granted that is only a last-ditch option.
March 30, 2009 at 1:40 pm
Patrick, can you please cite your sources for the DDT post? I’d like to do my own article on it for my blog, which supposedly specializes in science topics.
March 30, 2009 at 2:55 pm
Thank you, Patrick. But one thing you left out in your discussion of the Malthusian nonsense that is at the heart of the “the science is settled on global warming” lie is that population control is one of the primary tools they would use to limit carbon emissions. Fewer “carbon footprints” and all that.
March 30, 2009 at 3:51 pm
If I misunderstood you, it is because you failed to write what you meant, and not because I failed to understand what you wrote.
*jawdrop*
Have you no sense of irony? Not a modest bone in your body?
I couldn’t write such a thing with a straight face in a dozen years.
March 30, 2009 at 4:04 pm
Another natural scientist chiming in here (Geology, with professional experience in the environmental field) to support Patrick. From a geologist’s perspective, AGW should be a non-issue; repeat after me: the Earth is a dynamic system. The Earth, for which (not whom, it is an it) Christopher expressed such concern, existed for 4.5 BY before us. It has existed as recently as 12,000 years ago with far greater climate extremes than we have now. It has also had atmostpheric CO2 far far greater–which was ultimately fixed as limestone, BTW–ask me if the ocean’s ability to moderate climate has been adequately modelled by AGW enthusiasts! (A: No.) Any supposed climate changes we are now observing (not causing) do not require radical social engineering, and credible economists have already demonstrated that such solutions are not cost-effective. And, circling back to religion, it seems this fetishization of “ecology” is just a more subtle violation of the 1st commandment. (Forgive the length of the post, but there are few subjects on this blog for which I feel quailfied to post!)
March 30, 2009 at 4:15 pm
…oh, and for the person looking for the DDT references (spot one, too!), you should be able to find them at junkscience.com
March 30, 2009 at 5:39 pm
It is worth mentioning again that I am not arguing for either side of the global warming existence issue.
Energy Guy,
You, like Patrick, apparently like to boast of your education, but fail to actually mention what degrees you possess or what schools you attended. People who have to tell you how great their school is usually went to a pretty mediocre institution, especially when they don’t even tell you the name of it, or what degree they earned there. Color me unimpressed.
Foxfier,
Modesty does not consist in prefacing all I say with “Well, I always could be wrong, you know.” Everybody knows that already. It is not immodest to have confidence in my own argument.
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 5:47 pm
It is also worth mentioning that nobody has yet to engage my actually post. Everybody is going on about awesome their anonymous school was or how global warming is a Earth-worshipping liberal conspiracy. Guess it’s hard to engage when you don’t have a case, eh? Shouldn’t you guys really get back to trolling Daily Kos or something like that now?
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 5:54 pm
Just FYI, I was amused to read that the lights in the Gore mansion were apparently blazing throughout Earth Hour.
Oh, be sure to let me know if I need to post my degree status and provide a transcript before logging an opinion here đŸ™‚
March 30, 2009 at 6:05 pm
CV,
No you’re cool; just waiting to hear from all these people who claim to have went to such great schools. I’m going to be applying to grad schools for my Ph.D. soon and it be great to get some advice on some of the “better” schools Patrick and Energy Guy went to.
Apparently they’re not telling.
~cmpt
March 30, 2009 at 6:44 pm
Christopher Michael,
Since it seems to be important to you, I went to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and earned a SB and SM (other schools call this BS and MS) in Mechanical Engineering. And the scientific argument seems to me to lean on the “no global warming” side, though I don’t think it’s proven either way.
I recommend the school, BTW, if you’re looking at it.