This one hurt.
I advised my followers on Twitter last night that the next time I wrote a post about the polls being wrong, somebody should punch me in the ear.
So what does this mean? Many many people, including people smarter than me about these things, expected this to be a turnout election. We expected the turnout to be close to even with either a slight edge to Democrats or a slight edge to Republicans. Either way, most were in a agreement that it wouldn’t be anything like 2008. We were wrong. Exit polls have it pegged at D+6, fairly close to 2008.
So, what does this mean. It means that Republicans can no longer win national elections by turning out the base alone. They have to start convincing more people that they have the answers. They can no longer continue to write off blacks and Latinos as un-winnable and expect to win. There is just not enough base to do it.
Another lesson is that Catholics just don’t care in the slightest about the persecution initiated by this President and about the unborn. Every indication is that Catholics have granted an imprimatur for their own oppression. The reasons for this are a topic for another post.
Another key lesson Republicans should learn is about the nominating process. First, I don’t think that Mitt Romney is a bad man or that he was a particularly bad candidate. But, during the primary process conservatives looking for any alternative but Mitt bounced from candidate to candidate. For this we were harangued by party leadership and pundits alike that we had to nominate Mitt because he is ‘electable.’ To all those who beat us up over this back then, you know what you can go do to yourself.
I do not understand this ridiculous notion that we should nominate the candidate we like least so that others will like him. If we don’t like him, why the hell should anybody else? Republican moderates lose, period. I know the mantra by the Republican establishment will blame this on social conservatives and urge us to nominate someone even more moderate next time. They are idiots.
And the bottom line for me, if Americans would not reject this President under these circumstances, with a record of such unmitigated failure and with the prospect of country destroying debt looming, there may be no coming back for America. I am serious about that. Seriously, what will it take for Americans to change course? You would have to imagine that whatever it is it will be too late. I mean, look at Greece. They are past the point of no return and their country is in ruins and they still keep going. We. Are. Doomed.
I am buying beer, bullets, and a bus ticket to Texas and maybe somebody someday will pick the good fight.
November 7, 2012 at 6:20 pm
From what I am reading, it means that Democrats CAN win by turning out the base alone. I'm reading that Romney won independents in several key states by as much as 10 points, yet still lost that state as a whole.
November 7, 2012 at 6:38 pm
Anyone who believes polls over facts and logic is simply practicing wishful thinking. This election was called back in June.
A Mormon? REALLY???? Let's get Paul Ryan as frontrunner for 2016 NOW.
November 7, 2012 at 7:23 pm
As hard as it may be to accept. Republicans will likely have to take a page from the Dems playbook circa 2005, but that doesn't mean going squishier.
http://www.thetroglodyte.com/2012/11/learning-election-lessons.html
November 7, 2012 at 7:41 pm
Scott not squishier, just more intelligent. Ryan talks with numbers and facts, not like Romney who just talks from both sides of his mouth to whomever is important to him at any given moment. Ryan should have been the front-man, and God willing he will be in 2016. Aside from Santorum and Ron Paul, the other people on the stage during the debates were laughable (and they didn't realize the country was laughing AT them, not WITH them).
November 7, 2012 at 8:31 pm
I think it's past time to jettison the 'Republican Party' to it's squish-moderate-democrat-lite handlers….let the Karl Roves and Bill Crystals have it. I will register with a truly Conservative third party TODAY…just need to start one in earnest, and the 'republican party' will go the way of the Whigs.
November 7, 2012 at 10:08 pm
What will it take to turn this country around – there is a 10 step process outlined here:
If we ever expect to change the culture and save our most cherished freedom – freedom of religion, we have to change ourselves first. I outlined 10 steps every Catholic needs to take in order to take back our religious freedom, our faith, and our culture before we are brought back to God on our knees.
http://bit.ly/SSYg9r
November 7, 2012 at 10:22 pm
El Mono Liso,I am also from Louisiana and I don't consider it a "hell hole" at all (except for the heat, you're correct there) and since I have actually lived in a third-world country, I can comfortably say it's not like that, either. I do know many educated, conservative, generous people here who are delighted to live in the south. We are very disappointed in the direction our country is going but are trying to trust God and stay optimistic.
Also, I rarely wear wife-beaters.
November 7, 2012 at 10:46 pm
Next election Nov 2016.
100 years to the Blessed Virgin,s first visit at Fatima 1.e 13 th May 2017.
Maybe, just maybe we will finally have a Catholic President who stands strongly for our Faith.
Time means nothing to God or has He given us 100 years to correct our evil ways.
November 8, 2012 at 12:17 am
What makes you think that Romney turned out the base. He lacks conservative chops and was a compromise. I know many pro=life people who think he only said what he thought would get him elected. His position on health care was almost identical to Obama's. Really what's the difference? Why vote for democrat light?
fxr2
November 8, 2012 at 12:22 am
What makes you think that Romney turned out the base. He lacks conservative chops and was a compromise. I know many pro=life people who think he only said what he thought would get him elected. His position on health care was almost identical to Obama's. Really what's the difference? Why vote for democrat light?
fxr2
November 8, 2012 at 2:00 am
From the "hell-hole" known as South Carolina, El Mono Liso can kiss my ….Never mind. Look, until Catholics can match up to our Protestant lost cousins, we have no right to complain. At least they were in the mid 60%'s for Romney. And as for the South, we are red, and will stay that way, not because of ignorance or prejudice, but because most Southerners still remember what it means when one is in support of God and Country.
P.S. I ordered more bullets today. Hedging my bets.
November 8, 2012 at 4:22 am
Every day in this country, hundreds of thousands of innocent babies are ripped from their mothers' wombs and dismembered. Sodomy and perverse sex acts are not only tolerated but promoted. Men and women change spouses like they are underwear. Women dress like prostitutes. Men are watching pornography on their cell phones in the bathroom. We'd rather take our kids to a soccer game on Sunday than go to Mass. Our priests and bishops are telling us that all gods are the same and we just need to be the best person (Muslim, Jew, Methodist) that we can be. We would rather vote to reduce our taxes than save our children. We keep sending our children to the filthy cesspool called public schools where they can be indoctrinated. We spend countless mindless hours watching American Idol, Jersey Shore, Big Brother, and Modern Family. We want our entertainment cheap and our drugs legal. This is what America wants. And this is what the Lord has given. Our chastisement has begun. Our Lady of Fatima, pray for us. Our Lady of LaSalette, pray for us. May God have mercy.
November 8, 2012 at 5:12 am
I think many of your comments about the Republicans having to change their message to Black and Hispanic voters misses the point. This isn't a battle that is political. It is a battle that is spiritual. The Democratic Party has clearly embraced a position of unmitigated evil. The Republican Party has embraced a very cowardly position of accommodation with evil. Until the citizenry of this country begin to return to God and follow the commandments, there will be no improvement. The election results yesterday confirmed to me that the great Chastisement has in fact begun. Lord have mercy! Our Lady of the Rosary, save us!
November 8, 2012 at 9:08 am
"All the evil in the world is due to lukewarm catholics"………… Pope Pius
November 8, 2012 at 9:45 am
Sorry but did anyone happen to notice the huge numbers that turned up at the Romney/Ryan rallies compared with the half full auditoriums for Obama? The DNC Convention even moved indoors because it could not fill a NASCAR track stadium that sells out whenever there is a car race!
I'm not a conspiracy theorist but something is far too baffling for me that has me wondering why aren't more people considering the turn out or that perhaps we (the conservative vote) may have tipped off the left at how big our numbers were that they found a way to counter it on election day, the example I refer as tipping them off? The Chick-Fil-A crowds!! How about the tea party rallies? but the media did all they could & praise the filth for the occupy movement more than good people and rallies where could bring your children and not worry about what they'll hear? But the Chick-Fil-A came out of nowhere from the media's perspective and if you asked me, it set up the massive scale deception that was tallied last night! Consider how for one Allen West had a 2000 vote lead with all districts reporting UNTIL an election supervisor from one county turns in a recounted list of "earlier ballots and absentee votes" that have a discrepancy of -4400 votes against West?!!! Oh did I leave out the supervisor was a democrat? How about her response when the card count list the votes in at not 100% but 141%???
How easy could this have been done in just the right amount of counties all across the country??? The fact that Obama LOST every state that had voter I.D. laws is just a simple coincidence?
Do we really think ACORN went away?!
Obama ran on NOTHING!! No plan on what he would do, no attempt to end the gridlock, he all but spit on Israel, used gay people, and what has he done for Hispanics? He has deported more Mexicans than any other President!
They put forth such an effort to recount the BUSH/GORE election every years afterward, yet no one wants to perhaps LOOK at the machines and voter rolls this time around? Think Al Franken!!!
Yes I sound just like a conspiracy loon, but really consider my state, I know the worse kind of senator you can be will still win your reelection ie Diane Feinstein did not bother to debate her opponent Elizabeth Emken and the incumbent lazy senator still won. So it's not like I can't accept that there are some real stupid voters out there and we lost; but with Obama and the slime like Axelrod I know there's a rat in there somewhere (many rats too)
God Help Us
Especially when a man saying something very misguided about rape is thrown to the wolves and shunned from all in society, but ripping an unborn child apart because it is seen as a burden or an obstacle blocking one's track to reach their goal in life, and have women dressing up like giant vaginas is not only given a pass, but praised!!! What in the world???
November 8, 2012 at 12:24 pm
"The one enthroned in heaven laughs; the Lord derides them, Then he speaks to them in his anger, in his wrath he terrifies them…" (Psalm 3:4-5) The comments about the world economic crises especially Greece and the rest of Europe is on point. We too are headed for the economic edge. With a divided congress there will be expiration of tax cuts and real cuts in social programs. Everyone will be hurting. What merit is there if we have compassion for our friends when thieves do as much? The coming time will determine our belief in the Gospel mandate to love our neighbor Samaritans not like us and our enemies as well…
November 8, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Mea culpa… That's actually Psalm 2 rather than 3 above… "The Lord's acts of mercy are not exhausted, his compassion is not spent; They are renewed each morning–great is your faithfulness!" Lamentations 3:22-23