Just a quick point.
All we have heard the past few weeks is how bad Romney’s campaign has been. How off message. How gaffe prone. Falling apart. In need of an intervention. A rolling calamity. And so on…
The State Run Media has thrown the kitchen sink at the man for the last 2+ weeks. Releasing secret video. Pretending the truth is a gaffe. Lying. Dissembling. And failing to report the complete national security failure of the Obama administration and its inept cover-up. Add to this the same weak-kneed “Republican” pundits who insisted we nominate Romney getting all wobbly on him at the first sign of trouble and running to the first liberal microphone they can find.
All this. All this and Romney is still tied in the National polls.
His campaign meltdown has him tied against the incumbent with over a month to go.
If after all this, Romney is still tied with a fair amount of undecideds left, Obama should be really really scared.
As of right now and barring some major debate meltdown or the ultimate Obama October surprise, I think that Romney is going to win.
September 24, 2012 at 1:13 pm
The issue is that the popular vote matters zilch. Obama dominates the electoral college, which is what really counts. The probability of a Romney victory at this point is low.
September 24, 2012 at 1:59 pm
I'm not so certain Obama dominates the EC count.
http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-election-factors-points-romney-win-university-colorado-study-says
September 24, 2012 at 2:01 pm
I beg to differ with Pomeranian Catholic. Check out http://www.unskewedpolls.com. Romney is winning. Now if we can just figure out how to tie Obama's hands during the 'lame-duck' period, our country may survive.
September 24, 2012 at 3:20 pm
I hope Romney pounds him into the ground during the debates.
September 24, 2012 at 4:18 pm
If Romney had said absolutely nothing since 9/11/2012 to today, he'd be ahead in the polls. Libya was the closest thing to being handed the presidency on a golden platter. You'd better hope he doesn't win. A man this incompetent at campaigning will be incompetent at ruling, and all evidence shows he is not very tolerant of dissent. Romney had the votes in the convention; he didn't have to strong-arm the Paul delegates. He just stripped the vitality out of the GOP. No one who has been through the experience of seeing them break their own rules will trust them again. He is already running as a bellicose candidate- chances are things will escalate far behind any sensibility with him in charge.
It is too easy to push Romney into that weird, somewhat angry speech pattern he has (it might not even be angry- it could just be some regional thing). If Obama has any smart folks on his team, they'll abandon actually trying to talk about issues and just try to bait Romney into talking too much.