Looking for a reason to believe that John McCain and Sarah Palin will be the next residents of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue? Look no further. Sean Malstrom has the best and most knowledgeable breakdown I’ve seen this cycle. This is the funny thing about the blogosphere. You find great new reads all the time. This was a nice surprise.
I still think McCain will win the election and do so by a larger margin than Bush did in 2004. When this happens, a hurricane of outrage will be unleashed at the political analysis business, mostly the pollsters. People will demand to know how they could be so off. In other words, the future of the political analysis business will be destroyed as their reputation will become destroyed in the upcoming days…
Seriously, if you’re interested in this election don’t watch the talking heads babble on about a landslide. Read this.
H/T Ace
November 4, 2008 at 3:10 pm
I hope he’s right but I don’t think so.
November 4, 2008 at 3:30 pm
I just finished reading this and sent it to all my friends! Great article – I think the combination of PUMAs and "broken glass conservatives" will have an interesting effect on the election outcome. At any rate, it is out of our hands (once we have voted), so just keep on prayin'!
BTW, I attended Mass & Adoration last night with over 1100 people to pray for a successful election.
I think the pro-life issues have pulled many people out of apathy and into action.
I still think that my state – Florida – will go for McCain. Only time will tell.
November 4, 2008 at 3:49 pm
Interesting theory on the broken glass conservatives. Seems to be that the over sampling and high expectations of Democrat turn-out are overblown. As my wife postulated last night, conservatives don’t have to be TOLD to vote. We are civic-minded and view it as a duty. We don’t give a flyin’ flip about radio or TV ads. We know what to do and when to do it and what principles are non-negotiable. The fact that liberals have to work so hard to get their people to do something so simple is pretty bad.
November 4, 2008 at 4:20 pm
Best blog entry I have read in ages on any topic. Personally I don’t really care (I am more of the Mark Shea type) but I think McCain is going to win.
November 4, 2008 at 4:37 pm
Democrats show up for opinion polls and cocktail parties. It was patriots that showed up at the Alamo – even though most pretty-much knew they were doomed.
Patriots to the right thing – regardless.
November 4, 2008 at 4:49 pm
Please God, may it be. I live in PA. Didn’t know we were at the center of the storm. (And btw, what a great article.)
November 4, 2008 at 4:49 pm
Please God, may it be. I live in PA. Didn’t know we were at the center of the storm. (And btw, what a great article.)
November 4, 2008 at 5:04 pm
A fascinating article. I hope he’s right.
From one Catholic in California to all Catholics in the battleground states:
DO NOT VOTE FOR OBAMA. DO NOT VOTE FOR THE PARTY OF DEATH.
They want secular utopia. They want your unseemly religion to go quietly away. I hear it all the time on the ground here. Don’t be fooled by their lies; you’re not the “little guy” worth fighting for, you’re ignorant, bitter rednecks to them. Just like Arafat said one thing in English to the Western media and another in Arabic to his own, the Democrats are just using you for their EuroHedonistic Nanny Therapeutic State agenda.
Don’t believe the hype. Don’t vote for this charlatan.
November 4, 2008 at 6:03 pm
Great post!! We’ve been suffocated by the MSM lately; they’ve presented this election as if it’s a done deal already. No way!
Pray! Pray! Pray!
November 4, 2008 at 6:05 pm
As a fellow Californian, I agree with J. Christian above 100%. We can win this if the faithful vote for the culture of life. Don’t be fooled by the lies of the left. They hate us.
November 4, 2008 at 7:09 pm
Fascinating article – although I have to say that they only pundits who have come close to this type of analysis have been on FOX – but how come no one there has spoken on the ‘broken glass’ conservatives?
As to the Zogby – he looks like a pinhead to begin with, so if the descriptions of ‘past associations’ are true, then I can’t say I am surprised.
November 4, 2008 at 7:12 pm
Having trouble finding the article. Can someone post a link?
November 4, 2008 at 8:02 pm
there aren’t that many PUMAs around – we mostly all got over it and voted for Obama. Sorry.
-HRC supporter for Obama
November 4, 2008 at 10:45 pm
I don’t know what a broken-glass conservative is, but I fear a krystallnacht if the Obamaistas win.
— Mack
November 5, 2008 at 2:24 am
I wish you were right, but you are not. Obama is going to win by a landslide, the abortion party will take Congress by a filibuster-proof majority, and the rest will be history. Get prepared for the persecution. Catholics in this country have never experienced it, but they are about to. The persecution will separate out the sheep from the goats.
November 20, 2008 at 3:40 pm
Well, this article certainly turned out to be a complete load of garbage.