Newsweek, this week:
On Nov. 4, Barack Obama will be elected as the next president of the United States. The real excitement won’t come from watching that foregone conclusion come to pass. No, the big question is, will Democrats nationwide simply “win” the night—or will they deliver an electoral drubbing so thorough that it signals the utter rejection of conservative ideology and kills the notion that America is a “center-right” country?
Seems like Newsweek might be rooting a little bit rather than covering.
But here’s the thing, Zogby’s polling numbers have the difference between Obama and McCain at four while just last week the spread was twelve. The Investor’s Business Daily poll has Obama up just two. Battleground has Obama up three. Rasmussen had it eight on Sunday but by Monday McCain had gained three. There has been a momentun shift here. The gap is narrowing.
I’m not saying it’ll be easy. I’m just saying that this is far from over.
The pollsters are still, I believe, overestimating Democratic turnout. Sarah Palin is amassing record crowds wherever she goes. John McCain finally has a message and he’s sticking to it and he’s putting money behind it with the “spreading the wealth” and Joe the Plumber. Some 527’s are finally stepping out from behind the trees for McCain including the Born Alive Truth folks.
And here’s something hardly anybody’s talking about. About 8-10 percent of the electorate is still telling pollsters they’re undecided. Well, that means that despite seeing three times more commercials for Obama, the media telling them that the election is already over, and viewing exclusively positive news stories about “The One,” there’s a group of people who have resisted jumping on the Obamessiah bandwagon. Why?
If I’m Obama, that makes me very nervous.
Something tells me that many of these “undecideds” are going to break McCain come game day, just as they did for Hillary in the primaries. In short, don’t give up hope. Too much is at stake this election day. Turnout is everything. If Florida in 2000 taught us anything, it’s that one vote really does count.